Archive for November, 2007

Mack at The Viral Garden, has just posted an article that we at Pandemic Labs find particularly poignant given our own interest in the social media space and Facebook in particular. Aptly titled, “The Myspacing of Facebook“, Mack explains Facebook’s march towards “monetizing its users” (a very on point commentary for so few words) and his predictions that Facebook will repeat ‘errors’ committed so recently by Myspace. This entry is short and to the point and uses Paul (from HeeHawMarketing)’s quote to great effect, however I believe that it does come off as possibly more harsh than is appropriate for the reality of the situation.

It is clear from both his commentary and his abandonment of Myspace that Mack thinks that Myspace’s declining traffic numbers and plateauing user numbers are evidence of failure on the part of Myspace to cater to the community. Furthermore, he makes clear that he feels Facebook is committing, or has committed, these same cardinal sins of social media. While his argument and position are strong, I feel that there are some valid points and views not openly considered in this post.

To begin, the basis for his argument against Facebook is the assertion that Myspace is somehow failing due to the leveling off of its users base. I feel this assumption is dubious at best. At some point, the inquisitive reader might ask questions such as, “How many users does it take to be ’successful’ in Mack’s eyes?”, “Could this be a temporary leveling off rather than a sign of collapse?” and “Could Myspace’s leveling off simply be evidence that Myspace has reached the limits of the market for this particular type of social media outlet at this particular time?”. To be sure, I would LOVE to own a stock with a chart such as this (given that this alleged failure on Myspace’s part is evidenced by approximately a 35% increase in Daily Reach oMyspace 1 year - Alexa.comver the last year according to Alexa.com). Mack’s bold assertion of Myspace’s failure to “put the community first” seems similar in timbre to the sounds of people on CNBC arguing that Google’s stock was overpriced and failing while it stalled in the $450 range for three months earlier this year. I don’t know about you, but I was buying GOOG hand over fist at that point and have been handsomely rewarded on almost every day since. All stock analogies aside, it seems that there have to be a finite number of people in the world at any given point that have the desire or means to use Myspace. Maybe what we’re witnessing is this limit being approached rather than an overall grassroots rebellion against the monetization of the user base.

Additionally, Mack seems to ignore Paul’s assertion that the stepwise changes to Myspace and Facebook are orchestrated for maximum acceptance by the user base as a whole. I’m reminded of a similar situation as related in “Negotiation Bootcamp” by Ed Brodow of all books. Mr. Brodow explains how his gym tried to convert two of the four handball courts into places for more traditional lifting and cardio equipment. To accomplish this task, with a very vocal and passionate group of handball players at to the gym to contend with, the gym announced the conversion of ALL FOUR courts. In the uproar that ensued, the gym management “listened” to the the handball playing contingent and “decided” to only replace two of the courts since the handball players were so passionate about their sport. Brodow’s commentary shows that this gambit is a very successful tool for making an existing user base feel listened to and respected (and therefore unlikely to leave) while at the same time accomplishing the intended goal. Paul’s article makes this exact point very successfully in regards to Facebook and the new “beacon” platform. I agree with Paul that it is likely that Facebook is asking for more than it actually wants in an effort to appease and maintain the respect of the community. Mack doesn’t address this key point of Paul’s and it leaves me wanting to hear his opinion on the tactic.

A final point regarding Mack’s very timely is a point that Pandemic Labs has to constantly remind itself when designing media campaigns for our clients: The average internet user probably isn’t as tapped in or as radical-transparency oriented as a successful blogger such as Mack. I would argue, that most people are unfortunately NOT as thoughtful, demanding or picky as Mack when it comes to their internet experience and are absolutely fine with Myspace as it stands. As someone who personally shares Mack’s displeasure at the disregard for the community being exhibited by Myspace, I wish all users shared our view on this issue but realize this is far from the case. To use a cliche television example, American Idol is still one of the top rated shows in America. Can we really argue that the average person consistently requires or demands excellence and moral congruence from their entertainment providers?

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It’s hard to be in the viral video world for too long and not know who Kevin Nalts is. In fact, many of you might just know him as “Nalts,” his YouTube alter-ego who is one of the most subscribed-to creators on the site. More than that, he knows his stuff when it comes to marketing and advertising with viral video. For any who haven’t checked out his website, WillVideoForFood, it is a fantastic blog, one that is surely not to be missed by any who want to know what is going on in the viral video world.

Why are we telling you about Kevin Nalts? Because on 11/26/07 he wrote a great column that appeared in the digital section of AdAge.com entitled, “Ten Lessons for Marketers Using Viral Videos.” Now we know that it seems like there is at least one “ten things to do…” blog post everyday in the viral marketing world, but before you boo and hiss and go somewhere else, hear us out. This article by Nalts is the best tips article that we have read in a long time, and whether you are looking at viral video as a marketing engine or just for entertainment, it is well worth the read.

Nine times out of ten these “top ten things to do for success” articles state the obvious over and over. We have even read a couple supposed viral video tips that could have easily been written by the stray cat that lives near our office. But Nalts doesn’t waste your time with this article, and he gives you at least a couple substantial points to think about or act upon depending on what you’re doing. Granted, this article isn’t going to give you the secrets to instant viral video success, but we take our hats off to Nalts for writing something that is worth reading and not just a rehashing of the same stuff that everyone else is saying.

However, Nalts’ lesson #8, titled “Not all video portals are created equal,” is a little too cut and dry. He says:

“The vast majority of online viewing occurs on YouTube. Putting your videos on a bloated-product.com site is the online equivalent to running television commercials on a kiosk hidden in an abandoned cemetery.”

Now, we agree with Nalts that not all video sites are equal, and that most viewing occurs on YouTube, and that “bloated-product.com” is probably a waste of time. But his lesson is too short. He is unfairly sidelining some very powerful sites and not taking into account the power of viewer targeting which is crucial to viral success for marketers. The wording of this lesson accidentally makes it seem like YouTube is the only site worth seeding a video on, even though that is probably not what he meant to imply. Pandemic Labs has a network of over 50 sites that we use to seed videos. We don’t use all of these sites for every campaign, but it is critical to the spread and success of viral videos to reach specific target audiences on larger sites such as Break, Metacafe, and Kontraband, all the way down to small sites like SuperDeluxe, JibJab, and Dorks.com. It is easier for videos to make a bigger splash (i.e. getting featured, or on a most-viewed list) on sites like these which are smaller and filled with easier access to potential evangelists. This targeted visibility allows the videos to gain momentum in the blogosphere more quickly. This is essential for the viral spread of your message and will eventually help increase the exposure and view count of your “super-seed” on YouTube. Of course, YouTube is the biggest, but Nalts’ lesson #8 is akin to saying that just because most TV viewing occurs on the “Big 3″ networks, it isn’t worth your time to advertise anywhere else. It just isn’t true, especially given the unprecedented opportunities for niche marketing afforded by Web 2.0 (see “The Long Tail“). The fact is that if you are targeting college guys, not putting your video on Break, CollegeHumor, and DudeHelp is just as much of a mistake as not putting it on YouTube. Micro-targeting is a necessary strategy if you’re hoping to ensure the successful seed your viral and we feel Nalts’ lesson #8 doesn’t adequately do this fact justice.

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Yesterday the Wall Street journal ran an article by Raymund Flandez on the power of viral marketing for small business under the tagline, “How to use video to expand your business in a YouTube world.” The article contained some great examples of successful viral video campaigns across a wide variety of businesses and viral strategies. We think it also successfully brought to light the power of viral and social media marketing for small business and start-ups which, until now, was an element of the industry that seems to have been relegated to blogs and forums. Prior to this article, the mainstream press has focused on the “big brand” viral success stories when discussing viral marketing. Due to this focus, we all know about Dove, Axe, and BMW, but continual discussion of the 50 millions views achieved by “Evolution” can leave the small business entrepreneur feeling a little left out.

One of the many beauties of viral marketing is its accessibility to companies of all sizes. In fact, small businesses marketing emerging brands probably stand more to gain from viral marketing than almost any other type business. As evidenced by this article, the power of the content and the ease of social spread facilitated by the internet allow for extraordinary results Will it blend logofor companies of any size. As quoted in the WSJ article, BlendTec has seen a sales increase of 500% since the launch of their “Will It Blend?” campaign, and Maine Root’s sales have soared $2.5 million with their viral marketing efforts. Our experience with this phenomenon confirms these findings. In our independent example, Pandemic Labs created a viral video which has achieved 3.1 million views across our seeding network in the two months since its launch. The video has driven thousands of new visitors to our website and thus far we see that for every $1 of cost of the video, we drove over 5 unique visitors to our website. As the video is still achieving over 10,000 daily views, these numbers obviously only improve with time. Moreover, further analysis of the tracking data indicates that these were “high quality” visitors, more than half of which continued on from our homepage to explore the rest of our site. This data shows that our simple video was a more effective marketing tool than our SEO-optimized Google Adwords campaign, which had a higher bounce rate and drove fewer “high quality” visitors to our site.

One of the key benefits of viral marketing, whether you’re a Fortune 500 brand or a small start-up, is something we call “consumer self-selection.” Unlike TV ads where you are basically throwing your ad out there for anyone to see (or ignore), viral media has the natural tendency to seek out the best potential customers due to the fact that the customers themselves are selecting to view each video. If someone likes your brand and your viral, they are likely to forward it to people who will also appreciate your message. While this “viral autonomy” is not perfect, the theory does make sense. A college guy who finds and likes the new Axe viral video is more likely to send it to his like-minded male friends than to his sister. Through the viraling process, the videos target audiences who then self-select as they continue to watch and forward. This pseudo-evolutionary pressure of social networks acts on viral media and increases the chance that the media will be played by the consumers who will be most receptive to your message. Furthermore, due to the “word of mouth” nature of the referral and the social proximity of the referrer to the recipient, the viral also tends to target consumers when they are at their most engaged and most receptive. A final compelling fact regarding “the consumer self-selection” is that all of the automatic targeting is accomplished at a fraction of the cost of a traditional marketing campaign.

As always, Pandemic Labs encourages discussion and lively debate of all our posts. If you have any questions you can email us or visit our website.

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Pandemic Labs’ wildly successful video, “Webcam Break Up,” reached the 3 million view mark on November 17, 2007 and screenshotit is still racking up over ten thousand views a day. Using Pandemic Labs’ staggered seeding mechanics and using an array of social media peripherals “Webcam Break Up” reached the 3 million view mark in well under two months.

Pandemic Labs has been using our proprietary tracking service, PandemicMetrics, to track the spread and success of the video since its release. At this time, the video can be found on over 50 video websites and links to it can be found throughout the blogosphere.

Although we are now focusing on other projects, we will continue to track the success of “Webcam Break Up” and use the data gathered by PandemicMetrics to refine our seeding mechanics and help us provide even better services to our clients.

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Digg Banner

At Pandemic Labs we pride ourselves in conducting continual industry research so that we can understand the potential benefits of the many social indexing, bookmarking, and sharing tools that have risen to prominence in Web 2.0. We refer to these sites as “peripherals” because of the way they can help spread our viral seeds across the web. We have been following some of the largest peripheral sites such as Digg and StumbleUpon for some time now, building active and respected users as well as tracking the relative success of certain stories as they filter through the social media landscape. Recently, we were fortunate to have the Metacafe seed of our “Webcam Break Up” video reach the front page of Digg. We capitalized on this opportunity in order to learn more about the power of Digg when it comes to the spread of viral media. The experiment was small, but we wanted to share our findings with you all.

Our story only lasted 64 minutes on the front page of Digg before it was buried, but in a way, that helped us define specific start and stop points for our data collection. Here’s what we found out:

Our story reached the front page at 5:40 PM on 11/7/07. At that time we had:

  • 78 diggs
  • 100,818 views on Metacafe

As mentioned above, we were on the front page for 64 minutes before the story was buried. At that time we had:

  • 359 diggs
  • 108,265 views on Metacafe.

Based on those stats, even with a video that wasn’t overwhelmingly popular (as evidenced by the bury) we can get an idea of the power of Digg in terms of driving views. In 64 minutes on Digg’s front page we received 7,447 views. That works out to just over 115 views perscreenshot minute (after subtracting the baseline views/minute for the video prior to the Digg placement). Given the fact that our story was at least another ten minutes from being organically bumped from the front page, and the fact that it would still have had plenty of time on the Popular Videos page had it not been buried, we think that the conventional estimates of the power of Digg are too conservative. With more time on the front page and the staying power of popular stories, it seems clear that getting on Digg’s front page can drive a good deal more than the 10,000 views often estimated on many blogs. This brief experience on Digg’s front page is a concrete illustration of the power of Digg when it comes to the spread of social media. Pandemic Labs will continue to produce seed and track videos for clients and for our own research. As we deepen our understanding of social media sites through our continued use of Digg and other peripherals, we will be sure to share our data and conclusions with you.

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  • Nov 07
  • 7

Will People Flock to Flock?

Flock logo

On November 5th, the long overdue yet highly anticipated new web browser, Flock, was launched for public consumption. Will the year-overdue browser have a measurable effect on the way people experience online content? It is too early to tell, but we see great promise so far. As Scott Gilbertson writes in the Wired Blog, Flock “comes at time when more and more of us are relying on social networks to keep in touch with friends. But the tools for doing so are spread all across the web, and that’s what Flock wants to change. Flock attempts to consolidate all your social networking management tools in one place — the browser.”

The plan: bold. The results: compelling.

Flock 1

Pandemic Labs was quick to download this possible game-changer and after 48 hours with Flock it is clear to us that this isn’t your grandma’s web browser. It was incredibly easy to link Flock to our Facebook and Twitter profiles, our YouTube and Flickr accounts, and even this blog. The browser integrates all the normal web-browsing functionality that we rely on with the social networking architecture that we all love. It is truly a silky-smooth experience to find a picture you love while browsing the web and with just a drag over to your ‘People’ sidebar, be able to post it to your favorite social media site. This much is clear: the power of Flock for both the user and the online marketer lies in its seamless integration of Web 2.0 social structures and the more traditional internet.

To be clear, this is not a tech blog and our goal here is not to review what Flock can do or what problems it still has. If you’re interested in a good old-fashioned review, we recommend the “First Look” on the WIRED blog network. The focus of this article is instead to discuss the implications of Flock within the realm of social media. Even with its still-buggy 1.0 release, Flock is blurring the lines between a user’s social network and their rest-of-the-web experience. As these boundaries are removed, new avenues are created which facilitate and encourage the sharing of social media. With Flock it is now literally a one-click process to post a funny video to your Facebook profile without ever leaving the site that you are on. Flock’s ‘people’ tab and media browser also notify you the instant your friends post something new to their own site even while you are arms deep in internet research. It almost goes without saying that if Flock were to hit a critical mass of users, this feature would significantly improve the viraling process as the time between seeding, forwarding and re-forwarding is significantly decreased.

The integration of social media into the entire web browsing experience is a serious boon for viral advertisers such as Pandemic Labs because it opens new corridors of infection in addition to streamlining the current infection channels. It’s true that Flock doesn’t have the power to make bad creative go viral, but for high-quality viral media, Flock makes it significantly easier for consumers to willingly spread the campaign. If Flock succeeds in building its own flock of users (Flock expects 100 million users within five years), we could see a significant spike in the number of photos and videos that are shared between Facebook and other social networks. In the words of Flock co-founder and former CEO, Bart Decrem, “The Web is not just a library of documents, but a stream of events and people. And people are spending a lot more time sharing on the Web.”

In conclusion, Flock is definitely something to keep an eye on from a viral marketing standpoint. The technical difficulties and updates to the browser are things for other bloggers to discuss. At Pandemic Labs we are most concerned with Flock’s penetration into the market and the online user response to the integration of social networks. To that end, our patent-pending Facebook media application, TeeVee, (due to launch in January ‘08) has been tailored to fit seamlessly into the Flock framework and provide users with unmatched control of their media sharing abilities both within and outside the social graph. At Pandemic Labs our primary research focus, both related to Flock and in general, is watching new technology and understanding how it can be leveraged to increase the success of our clients’ viral campaigns.

As always, we encourage comments and responses to our articles. If you have a comment or a question for Pandemic Labs that you would not like to make in a public venue, please email us here.

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  • Nov 07
  • 5

VIRALcrack has a new look!

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VIRALcrack is a free newsletter which provides readers with three of the best viral media finds of the week. VIRALcrack launched on October 22nd, 2007 and its subscriber base has been growing since that time. Today’s issue showcases the new look of the newsletter as well as the first glimpse of the author, known only by his street name: B-town.

VIRALcrack appeals to readers for many reasons:

  1. It’s free and it always will be.
  2. It only comes once a week, so there are no annoying emails cluttering your inbox every morning.
  3. It uses Constant Contact so subscribers can rest assured that their privacy will be respected and they can securely unsubscribe at any time.
  4. B-town is a viral media junkie and he consistently finds the best content on the web.

If you’re interested the best viral media on the web then CLICK HERE and give VIRALcrack a try.

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